Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 2553.177493 2764.222114 2978.120875 3210.840001 3456.590618 3708.083425 3984.598000
2025-01-26 2276.431087 2597.110574 2934.196124 3313.753527 3728.036425 4165.325848 4660.600958
2025-02-02 2087.322199 2475.780347 2895.178552 3379.196794 3919.905752 4502.931681 5176.640758
2025-02-09 1904.145578 2336.673198 2814.596091 3377.847582 4019.427832 4723.490537 5550.450336
2025-02-16 1740.293340 2203.312582 2725.820732 3353.295852 4080.414084 4890.672553 5855.849346
2025-02-23 1636.481250 2129.923959 2697.162519 3389.531668 4203.729691 5122.873961 6230.741369
2025-03-02 1524.426631 2038.231176 2639.542488 3385.003659 4273.896623 5289.620099 6527.360132
2025-03-09 1453.590403 1991.011934 2630.065100 3433.235910 4402.604165 5521.960611 6898.830381
2025-03-16 1351.743118 1899.179261 2561.080290 3404.831140 4435.883500 5639.219556 7133.449207
2025-03-23 1307.791274 1877.016012 2574.884972 3474.937066 4585.995297 5893.960880 7530.535480
2025-03-30 1242.832865 1824.117426 2547.164508 3491.007569 4668.287297 6066.450551 7829.417784
2025-04-06 1177.128231 1766.649211 2510.542749 3493.171285 4731.292136 6214.272257 8098.096499
2025-04-13 1070.169869 1650.567499 2395.837935 3394.414949 4667.899600 6208.668584 8183.034859
2025-04-20 1056.245493 1659.129495 2442.310180 3501.582720 4863.165738 6521.325769 8658.110118
2025-04-27 1027.960895 1646.218264 2459.240397 3569.712116 5008.833434 6773.284357 9060.227266
2025-05-04 974.793261 1595.998396 2424.331775 3568.307669 5064.504831 6912.774308 9323.766791
2025-05-11 916.311277 1535.374143 2372.865343 3542.749770 5087.242846 7009.799728 9534.007313
2025-05-18 884.486345 1511.376534 2369.834205 3580.469888 5191.228431 7208.930138 9872.181293
2025-05-25 839.918578 1466.634139 2336.396320 3575.756638 5238.660033 7335.844730 10119.834647
2025-06-01 816.533676 1452.065204 2343.997859 3625.958628 5358.021474 7554.637376 10484.270264
2025-06-08 768.598335 1398.345122 2294.542204 3596.394764 5370.371999 7635.474148 10673.612932
2025-06-15 755.764714 1397.456776 2319.677119 3669.356746 5519.456603 7892.916030 11088.888177
2025-06-22 726.400936 1369.615365 2304.975222 3686.079731 5592.602308 8052.066707 11379.119756